About the Global Macro Lab

The Global Macro Lab focuses on real-time macroeconomic measurement, forecasting, and financial conditions analysis. The lab develops statistical and econometric tools to improve economic monitoring and policy-related decision-making.

Research Focus Areas

Current Initiatives

Dashboard Tracking Recession in Real Time

Recessions tend to occur when financial conditions tighten while economic activity weakens. Looking at only one signal can give incomplete warnings. By combining both, this framework produces real-time recession risk estimates designed to improve early detection.