My main research interests are focused on large-scale dynamics and transport in the atmosphere and oceans, and its controls on the distribution of trace constituents. This is important for several different aspects of global change, including stratospheric ozone depletion, air pollution, and global warming. In recent years research activities have expanded to include the atmosphere of Mars and the connections between particular matter and urban heat on public health.
Polar vortices are a prominent winter feature in the atmospheres of Earth, Mars, and several other planets. On Earth there are distinct stratospheric and tropospheric polar vortices (What is a polar vortex?). The stratospheric polar vortex plays a key role in ozone depletion, and can also influence surface weather (including extreme events). Extreme surface weather events are often related to transient, localized displacements of the edge of the tropospheric polar vortex.
- The Polar Vortex: Meshing and Stripping the Gears of the Atmosphere
- Waugh, D.W. and L.M. Polvani, Stratospheric Polar Vortices, in “The Stratosphere: Dynamics, Transport and Chemistry. A festschrift celebrating Alan Pumb’s 60th birthday”, L.M. Polvani, A.H. Sobel and D.W. Waugh, Eds., American Geophysical Union, Washington, D.C., 2010.
- Waugh, D.W, A Sobel, L.M. Polvani, 2016: What is the Polar Vortex and how does it influence weather? Bulletin American Meteorological Society, 98, 37-44.
- Waugh D. W., A.D. Toigo, S.D. Guzewich, S.J. Greybush, R.J. Wilson , L. Montabone, 2016: Martian Polar Vortices: Comparison of Reanalyses, J. Geophysical Res. -Planets, 121.
The build up of CFCs and other chlorine and bromine containing species in the atmosphere has lead to significant stratospheric ozone depletion, especially over Antarctic during spring. This ozone depletion leads not only to changes in UV radiation reaching the surface, but also changes in changes in tropospheric weather systems and climate, and ocean circulations. Using observations and a hierarchy of numerical models we are examining the impact of the ozone hole on southern hemisphere weather and climate.
- Waugh, D.W, C.I. Garfinkel, L.M. Polvani, 2015 Drivers of the recent tropical expansion in the Southern Hemisphere: Changing SSTs or ozone depletion? J Climate, to appear.
- Waugh, D.W., F. Primeau, T. Devries, and M. Holzer, Recent changes in the ventilation of the southern oceans , Science, 339, 568, doi:10.1126/science.1225411, 2013
- Ndarana, T., D. W. Waugh, L. M. Polvani, G.J.P. Correa, E.P. Gerber, Antarctic Ozone Depletion and trends in tropospheric Rossby wave breaking , Atmos. Sci. Letters, 10.1002/asl.384, 2012.
The transport of surface waters into the interior (”ventilation”) of the southern oceans plays an important role in global climate and the cycling of carbon, oxygen, and nutrients in the oceans. We are using observations and models to explore changes in this ventilation. Analysis of measurements of the man-made compounds CFC-12 and SF6 shows large-scale coherent changes in ventilation times, with decreases in the subtropical thermocline and intermediate waters and increases in circumpolar deep waters. These inferred changes are consistent with expected response due to the changes in surface winds that have been linked to the formation of the Antarctic ozone hole.
- Waugh DW. 2014 Changes in the ventilation of the southern oceans . Phil. Trans. R. Soc. A 372: 20130269. http://dx.doi.org/10.1098/rsta.2013.0269.
- Tanhua. T., D.W. Waugh, J., Bullister, Estimating changes in ocean ventilation from early 1990s CFC- 12 and late 2000s SF6 measurements , Geophys. Res. Lett., 40, 927-932, 2013.
- Waugh, D.W., F. Primeau, T. Devries, and M. Holzer, Recent changes in the ventilation of the southern oceans , Science, 339, 568, doi:10.1126/science.1225411, 2013.
The tropospheric distributions of chemically and radiatively important constituents such as ozone, water vapor, carbon dioxide, and aerosols are strongly influenced by transport, and quantifying this transport is central to understanding and predicting air quality and climate change. We are using trace gas measurements and model simulations to quantify the transit-time distribution (TTD) for transport from NH populated regions.
- Waugh, D.W., et al. Tropospheric SF6: Age of Air from the Northern Hemisphere Mid-latitude Surface , JGR, 118, 11429-11441, 2013 2013
- Holzer, M., and D. W. Waugh (2015), Interhemispheric transit-time distributions and path-dependent lifetimes constrained by measurements of SF6, CFCs, and CFC replacements , Geophys. Res. Lett., 42, doi:10.1002/2015GL064172.
We are collaborating with scientists at NASA Goddard Space Flight Center (GSFC) and other institutes in several different activities using multi-dimensional coupled chemical – physical models to understand past changes and predict future changes in stratospheric composition and global climate.
Son, S.-W., L. M. Polvani, D. W. Waugh, H. Akiyoshi, R. Garcia, D. Kinnison, S. Pawson, E. Rozanov, T. G. Shepherd, and K. Shibata, The Impact of Stratospheric Ozone Recovery on the Southern Hemisphere Westerly Jet, Science, 320, 1486-1489, 2008. [see Nature research hightlight .]
Son, S., N. F. Tandon, L. M. Polvani, and D. W. Waugh (2009), Ozone hole and Southern Hemisphere climate change , Geophys. Res. Lett., 36, L15705, doi:10.1029/2009GL038671.
Oman, L. D.W. Waugh, S Pawson, R.S. Stolarski, and P.A. Newman, On the Influence of Anthropogenic Forcings on Changes in the Stratospheric Mean Age , J. Geophys. Res., 114, D03105, http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2008JD010378, 2009.
Water vapor plays a crucial role in Earth’s climate system, and it is important to know the water vapor distribution and processes controlling this distribution. We are performing research to better quantify the distribution and key processes using a combination of satellite observations, theory, and transport models.
Ryoo, J.-M., T. Ugusa, and D.W. Waugh, D.W., PDFs of Tropospheric Humidity, J. Climate, 22, 3357-3373, 2009.
Ryoo, J.M, D.W. Waugh, A. Gettelman, Variability of Subtropical Upper Tropospheric Humidity, Atmos. Chem. Phys., 8, 2643-2655, 2008.
Waugh, D.W., Impact of Potential Vorticity Intrusions on Subtropical Upper Tropospheric Humidity, J. Geophys. Res., 110, D11305, 2005.
Transport and mixing play key roles in determining the distribution of important tracers in the atmosphere and oceans. For example, quantifying the mixing of different stratospheric air masses is important for understanding the observed ozone depletion, which quantifying mixing in the ocean is important for understanding ocean color. We use high-resolution simulations together with observations to quantify stirring and mixing in the stratosphere and oceans. More
Waugh, D.W., E. R. Abraham, M. M. Bowen Spatial variations of stirring in the surface ocean: A case study of the Tasman Sea, J. Phys. Oceanogr., 36, 526-542, 2005.
Waugh, D.W., Plumb, R.A., et al., Mixing of polar vortex air into middle latitudes as revealed by tracer-tracer scatter plots. J. Geophys. Res. 102, 13119-13134, 1997.
Quantifying the timescales for transport into and through the stratosphere, oceans, lakes and groundwater is important for understanding/modeling the flow, biochemical cycling, and distribution of constituents. Research in this area uses theory, models and observations to determine transit time distributions (TTDs) and the infiltration of tracers (e.g. ozone-depleting substances into the stratosphere, and carbon into the oceans). More
Waugh, D.W. 2009, The age of stratospheric air, Nature Geosciences, 2, 14 – 16.
Waugh, D.W., T. W. N. Haine, and Hall, T. M., Transport Times and Anthropogenic Carbon in the Subpolar North Atlantic Ocean. Deep-Sea Res., 51, 1475-1491, 2004.
Waugh, D.W., &Hall, T.M., Age of stratospheric air: Theory, observations, and models Rev. Geophys., 40 (4), 10.1029/2000RG000101, 2002